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Coinbase CEO expects crypto bill clarity: Optimism's fragile illusion

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Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong projects confidence despite legislative hurdles, maintaining optimism for crypto market clarity. The CLARITY Act's Long Shadow: Why Crypto's Regulatory Future Hangs in the Balance Another day, another dose of Washington's unique brand of regulatory limbo. The much-touted CLARITY Act, designed to bring desperately needed market structure reform to crypto, remains stalled in the US Senate. This isn't just a minor legislative hiccup; it's a battle for the soul of American crypto innovation, with incumbent financial interests clearly playing a heavy hand. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong, ever the optimist, continues to project a "win-win" scenario. While speaking at the World Liberty Forum, he expressed confidence in lawmakers delivering a resolution that benefits crypto, banking, and consumers alike. A ni...

Hyperliquid Buys Influence with HYPE: A $28M Bet on Regulatory Capture

The $28M HYPE allocation marks a significant escalation in DeFi's pursuit of federal legitimacy.
The $28M HYPE allocation marks a significant escalation in DeFi's pursuit of federal legitimacy.

Hyperliquid's $28.7M Bet: Is This "Policy Center" a Play for Clarity, or Just Regulatory Capture?

💸 In the high-stakes game of crypto, a new player just dropped a heavy chip on the table. Hyperliquid (HYPE) made waves this week, announcing its Foundation will bankroll the Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC), a shiny new Washington, D.C.-based operation. Its stated mission? To advocate for clearer federal rules governing decentralized finance (DeFi).

But let's be clear: when nearly $29 million gets poured into a D.C. lobbying effort, you're not just "advocating." You're buying a seat at the table to shape the rules of the game. And in 2025, that's not just news; it's a critical signal for every serious crypto investor.

Hyperliquid builds a structural defense against hostile legislative overreach through targeted institutional maneuvers.
Hyperliquid builds a structural defense against hostile legislative overreach through targeted institutional maneuvers.

📌 The Regulatory Battlefield DeFis Fight for Legitimacy

A Decade of Ambiguity

🌐 For years, the U.S. crypto landscape has been a regulatory minefield. We've seen innovation stifled, projects flee offshore, and countless retail investors caught in the crossfire of enforcement actions without clear guidelines. The lack of a coherent federal framework for DeFi has been a colossal failure, leaving a multi-trillion-dollar industry operating in a legal gray zone.

🏛️ Regulators, primarily the SEC and CFTC, have largely tried to shoehorn novel crypto technologies into antiquated rules designed for analog financial products. This approach has led to stagnation, not clarity, especially as global competitors push forward with more progressive frameworks.

Enter Hyperliquid's HPC: A New Era of Influence?

The Hyperliquid Policy Center aims to be the tip of the spear in this ongoing battle. Led by Jake Chervinsky, a veteran from the Blockchain Association and Variant, the HPC is positioned to engage directly with lawmakers and agencies. Their argument? Today's financial rules are simply not fit for decentralized protocols.

This isn't just about education; it's about influence. With a budget of 1 million HYPE tokens, valued at approximately $28.7 million at current prices, Hyperliquid isn't just making a statement; they're making a significant investment in shaping their future operating environment.

Veteran advocacy leadership bridges the gap between decentralized innovation and established Washington power structures.
Veteran advocacy leadership bridges the gap between decentralized innovation and established Washington power structures.

📌 Market Impact Analysis Perps Power and Price Volatility

Short-Term Shakes and Long-Term Shifts

🚀 The immediate market reaction to such news is often a mix of optimism and skepticism. On one hand, any move towards regulatory clarity in DeFi is generally seen as positive, potentially unlocking significant institutional capital. This could provide a short-term boost for DeFi tokens, especially those linked to derivatives like HYPE itself.

However, the journey to regulatory acceptance is rarely smooth. Expect increased price volatility for projects heavily involved in perpetual derivatives, as legislative proposals and regulatory interpretations emerge. Investor sentiment will be highly sensitive to the perceived success or failure of HPC’s lobbying efforts.

The Perpetual Derivatives Frontier

The HPC's focus on establishing a legal structure for perpetual derivatives – "perps" – is particularly telling. These non-expiring contracts are a cornerstone of offshore crypto trading, accounting for a massive share of global digital asset activity. Their absence from mainstream U.S. finance is a huge missed opportunity, and a massive regulatory hurdle.

🌐 If HPC succeeds in carving out a clear path for perps, it could fundamentally transform the U.S. DeFi landscape. This would open the floodgates for more institutional engagement, potentially leading to a massive increase in trading volume and liquidity for compliant platforms. Expect a scramble among existing DeFi protocols to adapt and capture this market share, or even move to D.C. themselves.

📍 Stakeholder Analysis & Historical Parallel The Price of Legitimacy

In my view, Hyperliquid's hefty investment in the HPC is a classic play for regulatory capture, dressed up as an appeal for clarity. This isn't altruism; it's calculated self-interest, aiming to create a regulatory environment that favors their specific product offerings, particularly perpetuals.

Strategic lobbying efforts aim to replace outdated analog frameworks with code-literate regulatory standards.
Strategic lobbying efforts aim to replace outdated analog frameworks with code-literate regulatory standards.

The closest historical parallel we've seen in the last decade is the 2018 CFTC approval of Bitcoin futures contracts. That event, in 2018, legitimized Bitcoin as a commodity and brought it into a regulated framework. The outcome was a slow, deliberate increase in institutional participation, but it also underscored how narrowly focused initial regulatory clarity could be. It opened one door while many others remained shut.

The lesson learned? Limited regulatory victories, while celebrated, often serve to entrench specific players and products. They don't magically solve the broader issues of systemic clarity. Today's situation with DeFi perps is similar in its goal – to bring a popular, yet unregulated, product into the fold. However, it's profoundly different due to the decentralized nature of DeFi itself. Regulating a protocol that operates without central intermediaries presents a far greater challenge than regulating a centralized futures exchange.

Hyperliquid is betting that by getting their specific product regulated first, they gain a massive first-mover advantage. This appears to be a calculated move to shape the playing field, potentially at the expense of smaller, less-resourced DeFi projects that can't afford a multi-million-dollar D.C. lobbying machine.

Stakeholder Position/Key Detail
Hyperliquid Foundation 👮 Funding HPC with 1M HYPE tokens (~$28.7M) to advocate for DeFi regulation.
Hyperliquid Policy Center (HPC) Washington, D.C.-based organization, seeking clearer federal rules for DeFi, led by Jake Chervinsky.
Jake Chervinsky (HPC CEO) Former Blockchain Association/Variant exec; will lead efforts to engage lawmakers/regulators; believes current rules are outdated for DeFi.
U.S. Lawmakers & Regulators Need to understand DeFi and craft rules; currently operating with "analog era" frameworks poorly suited to decentralized protocols.
Perpetual Derivatives (Perps) 👨‍⚖️ Top HPC priority for legal structure; widely traded offshore, offer advantages, lack US mainstream presence due to uncertainty.

💡 Key Takeaways

  • Hyperliquid is investing ~$28.7 million to influence DeFi regulation in Washington D.C., a significant move for a single protocol.
  • The focus on perpetual derivatives highlights a strategic push to legitimize a core DeFi product in the U.S. market.
  • This initiative could lead to increased market volatility in the short-term but potentially unlock massive institutional capital for compliant DeFi projects long-term.
  • Investors should monitor regulatory progress closely, as success could reshape the competitive landscape for DeFi protocols.
🔮 Thoughts & Predictions

Connecting this move to the 2018 CFTC Bitcoin futures approval, it's clear that targeted regulatory wins, even those pushed by specific industry players, can be immense catalysts. While that approval primarily benefited centralized exchanges initially, Hyperliquid's play aims to legitimize a core decentralized product. We should expect other major DeFi protocols to either follow suit with their own lobbying efforts or face a significant disadvantage in accessing U.S. institutional liquidity. This dynamic will likely consolidate power among well-funded DeFi entities capable of navigating the D.C. maze.

My prediction is a split market: We'll see "regulated DeFi" (compliant protocols like Hyperliquid) gain significant traction and potentially attract billions in institutional capital over the next 18-24 months, while "unregulated DeFi" continues to operate in legal limbo, facing ongoing enforcement risks. This clarity for perps could boost the overall DeFi market cap by 10-15% in the medium term, primarily funneling value into protocols that secure regulatory blessings.

Direct engagement with federal agencies signals the end of the industry's experimental isolation phase.
Direct engagement with federal agencies signals the end of the industry's experimental isolation phase.

The bottom line for investors: Projects actively engaging with regulators, despite the cynical undertones, are de-risking their operations in the U.S., making them more attractive long-term holdings. Look for those making similar strategic investments, as they are likely positioning themselves for the next wave of capital.

🎯 Investor Action Tips
  • Monitor HPC's progress: Track their legislative wins or setbacks, as this directly impacts the viability of U.S.-based perpetuals and related DeFi projects.
  • Assess DeFi protocol's regulatory strategy: Prioritize projects that demonstrate clear intent and resources to navigate the evolving U.S. regulatory landscape, not just those pushing for it.
  • Evaluate perp-centric tokens: Be prepared for increased volatility but also potential upside for tokens (like HYPE) that stand to benefit directly from regulatory clarity on perpetual derivatives.
  • Consider geographical diversification: Acknowledge that U.S. regulatory advancements might create a divide, making offshore-focused DeFi plays distinct from compliant U.S. ones.

🚩 Future Outlook The Long Game of Legitimacy

🏦 The establishment of the Hyperliquid Policy Center signals a maturation of the crypto industry's approach to regulation. No longer content to simply build and hope, major players are now aggressively shaping the policy landscape to their advantage. This trend will only intensify.

🚧 We can expect a future where more single-protocol entities, or consortia, launch similar initiatives. This will create a complex, multi-faceted lobbying effort in D.C., potentially accelerating, or conversely, fragmenting, comprehensive federal crypto regulation. The core opportunity for investors lies in identifying protocols that successfully navigate this shift, positioning themselves for widespread adoption once legal frameworks are in place.

The risk, as always, is regulatory overreach or capture that benefits a select few at the expense of broader market innovation. Retail investors must remain vigilant, understanding that behind every "advocacy" group lies a powerful economic interest. The race for regulatory clarity is not just about legality; it's about market dominance.

📘 Glossary for Serious Investors

⚖️ DeFi (Decentralized Finance): An umbrella term for financial applications built on blockchain technology, aiming to disintermediate traditional financial services. Operates without central intermediaries.

⚖️ Perpetual Derivatives (Perps): A type of futures contract without an expiry date, common in crypto. They aim to track the spot price of an underlying asset and are hugely popular on offshore exchanges.

🧭 Context of the Day
Hyperliquid's multi-million-dollar lobbying push is a bold signal that major DeFi players are now actively shaping U.S. crypto regulation to secure market dominance.
💬 Investment Wisdom
"In Washington, if you're not at the table, you're on the menu."
Michael Enzi

Crypto Market Pulse

February 19, 2026, 09:10 UTC

Total Market Cap
$2.38 T ▼ -1.89% (24h)
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC)
56.32%
Ethereum Dominance (ETH)
10.01%
Total 24h Volume
$90.25 B

Data from CoinGecko

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